Analysis

How New Mexico's cannabis market actually moves

How the market works over time: demand, saturation, churn and concentration across every month since April 2022, with Census population and income and DOH patient counts joined in. For a single month's numbers, see Market. For individual stores and operators, see the Leaderboard and Brands.

Demand

More shoppers, or bigger baskets?

Year-over-year change in transactions vs. average ticket, statewide

Average ticket

Dollars per transaction

Seasonality

Typical month vs. average (100), statewide 2022–26

Medical's shrinking slice

Medical share of sales

Medical program patients

Active enrolled patients (NM DOH)

Saturation

Where demand outruns stores

Counties with 2,000+ adults: stores per 10k adults (21+) vs. annual sales per adult · bubble = sales · dashed lines = state average · hover for details

How crowded is it?

Active stores by number of competitors within 1 mile

The Texas border effect

Share of statewide sales from stores near the Texas line

Estimated excise tax

Adult-use sales × state excise rate (medical is exempt)

Churn

Openings vs. closures

Stores that started or stopped reporting sales each month · ownership changes at the same address

Active locations

Stores reporting sales

Survival by opening year

Share of stores still reporting after 6, 12, 24 and 36 months

Ramp-up

Median monthly sales by months since opening (stores opened after Apr 2022)

Consolidation

Top-10 brands' and chains' share of sales (chain = 3+ locations)

Steady vs. volatile stores

How much each store's monthly sales swing (last 12 months)

Compare places

Index columns compare with the state average (100). Density index = stores per adult; spend index = annual sales per adult. High spend with low density suggests an under-served market. Cities that aren't Census places use their ZIP areas.

Notes & definitions full sources & methodology →